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data analysis

  • UpTrust Admin avatar

    AMA with Jeffrey Ladish. Wednesday 2/4 at 2:00 PM CT

    Executive director of Palisade Research; studying AI loss of control risks.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ALfhq3r7Cz0
    JulieI•...
    And don't you love it! Maybe we need to think about the non-logical paths data can follow. I don't program but do you ever put a bug in or supply bogus data just to see what happens? Be prepared for any outcome? And, AFTER we see what happens, choose our response....
    parenting
    problem solving
    software testing
    data analysis
    Comments
    0
  • annabeth avatar

    Can someone actually have any Teal if they score 0% Orange, Amber, Red, and Magenta? Going through the scores of the Better Political Conversations quiz is fascinating. (reference: https://www.guidedtrack.com/programs/we0q1pq/run)

    Now, this very well could have been someone running an experiment to test the scoring, or to try to get a sense of a friend or family member, but they did give a name where a lot of people leave that blank.

    Their scores are:
    Teal 55%
    Green 45%
    Orange 0%
    Amber 0%
    Red 0%
    Magenta 0%

    Is it at all possible that someone could select every single response at Orange, Amber, Red, and Magenta as False, wrong, or just doesn’t make sense and have any actual Teal?

    Also interesting, I got an email from someone who thinks of himself as primarily Orange, but was surprised that his quiz results came out 0% Orange. He referenced his Meyers-Briggs results as a reference in support. Utterly fascinated, I’ve asked him to let me know what correlation he sees between the Integral levels and Meyers-Briggs, and I’ve asked him what statements at Orange would have had his quiz results come out accurate for him.

    Each time I make a significant edit in the content of the project I make a note of the change in the google sheet where I’m keeping track of scores. Here are the averages of the currently 75 scores:

    Amber 26%
    Green 25%
    Teal 21%
    Red 12%
    Orange 11%
    Magenta 5%

    One blatant pattern I’m seeing is that high Green scores ALWAYS pair with a high score in Amber, and that people who have that pairing always score exceedingly low in Red and quite low in Orange.

    jordanSA•...
    My epic-view future version of the project intends show people their scores on all lines simultaneously, so they can see where they’re sturdy in the levels they’re wanting to bring more of in other areas of life....
    project management
    data analysis
    self-improvement
    Comments
    0
  • jordan avatar

    Monogamy v polyamory. Is monogamy better? Is poly better? Is there an overall norm for people, with exceptions? Is it totally pluralistic? Here are some points for monogamy, with some counter points, to convey some of my uncertainty but nevertheless leaning into what I’ve chosen:

    • Point: I don’t know a single polyamorous couple that’s lasted more than a decade, whereas I know a ton of lifelong monogamous couples.
      • Counterpoint: many of the lifelong monogamous couples are not healthy relationships
        • Counter-counter-point: perhaps being in a lifelong commitment, even if the relationship isn’t ideal, is more healthy than being hyper-independent, especially as you get older. This runs right up against boundaries, how to know what to tolerate/love as is, when to leave, etc
    • Point: The poly focus of attention tends to be the relationships themselves, often a kind of relational narcissism, rather than the relationship being a foundation for engaging the world in love (ironically). This is my version of the poly is impractical argument. Most of the people I meet practicing polyamory are constantly putting tons and tons and tons of life energy into their relational problems, and it seems like their relationships are often built around addressing these problems rather than enjoying life together. The fact that it takes so much time and energy points to something being a little off. Monogamous relating also takes energy but it usually seems less self-referential; they’re more often helping each other face and engage the world, rather than face and engage each other and their relationship.
      • potential counterpoint: You’re making a developmental point Jordan, not a mono/poly point. Most people practice poly from a Red ego-centric POV; most people practice sex from Red as well. If you practice from a genuine Green+ polyamory, this doesn’t happen.
    • Point: Humans are largely monogamous; it’s instinctual
      • Counterpoint: How would we know if its cultural versus biological versus systemic versus psychological per person/family? it only takes a couple of generations of evolution to make massive physical changes, so even if it is biological, how could we know what’s possible for the future?
      • Counterpoint: people wanna fuck, especially dudes
      • Cheating, mistresses, polygamy, Sex at Dawn etc…
    • Point: Many poly people avoid endings, boundaries, standards, and facing their own karma by just jumping from relationships to relationship. Sure monogamous people do too, but many of them end up getting married and that crucible forces them to face their stuff. Far fewer poly people get married, and when they do they can still use other relationships to avoid their shit
      • Counterpoint: we can use absolutely everything to avoid our shit.

    there’s tons more, just want to get the convo started…

    jordanSA•...

    I’d love to get some real data on this: what are the numbers? How do they compare?

    data analysis
    statistics
    comparative studies
    Comments
    0
  • annabeth avatar

    Can someone actually have any Teal if they score 0% Orange, Amber, Red, and Magenta? Going through the scores of the Better Political Conversations quiz is fascinating. (reference: https://www.guidedtrack.com/programs/we0q1pq/run)

    Now, this very well could have been someone running an experiment to test the scoring, or to try to get a sense of a friend or family member, but they did give a name where a lot of people leave that blank.

    Their scores are:
    Teal 55%
    Green 45%
    Orange 0%
    Amber 0%
    Red 0%
    Magenta 0%

    Is it at all possible that someone could select every single response at Orange, Amber, Red, and Magenta as False, wrong, or just doesn’t make sense and have any actual Teal?

    Also interesting, I got an email from someone who thinks of himself as primarily Orange, but was surprised that his quiz results came out 0% Orange. He referenced his Meyers-Briggs results as a reference in support. Utterly fascinated, I’ve asked him to let me know what correlation he sees between the Integral levels and Meyers-Briggs, and I’ve asked him what statements at Orange would have had his quiz results come out accurate for him.

    Each time I make a significant edit in the content of the project I make a note of the change in the google sheet where I’m keeping track of scores. Here are the averages of the currently 75 scores:

    Amber 26%
    Green 25%
    Teal 21%
    Red 12%
    Orange 11%
    Magenta 5%

    One blatant pattern I’m seeing is that high Green scores ALWAYS pair with a high score in Amber, and that people who have that pairing always score exceedingly low in Red and quite low in Orange.

    annabeth•...
    Tech guy thinks it’s possible! I just did a manual test drive of this teal-adjusted scoring system with the results of 18 people I know, and here’s the average: Average of original 18 scores: Teal 26% Amber 25% Green 24% Red 12% Orange 10% Magenta 6% Average of same 18...
    psychometrics
    data analysis
    statistics
    Comments
    0
  • annabeth avatar

    Can someone actually have any Teal if they score 0% Orange, Amber, Red, and Magenta? Going through the scores of the Better Political Conversations quiz is fascinating. (reference: https://www.guidedtrack.com/programs/we0q1pq/run)

    Now, this very well could have been someone running an experiment to test the scoring, or to try to get a sense of a friend or family member, but they did give a name where a lot of people leave that blank.

    Their scores are:
    Teal 55%
    Green 45%
    Orange 0%
    Amber 0%
    Red 0%
    Magenta 0%

    Is it at all possible that someone could select every single response at Orange, Amber, Red, and Magenta as False, wrong, or just doesn’t make sense and have any actual Teal?

    Also interesting, I got an email from someone who thinks of himself as primarily Orange, but was surprised that his quiz results came out 0% Orange. He referenced his Meyers-Briggs results as a reference in support. Utterly fascinated, I’ve asked him to let me know what correlation he sees between the Integral levels and Meyers-Briggs, and I’ve asked him what statements at Orange would have had his quiz results come out accurate for him.

    Each time I make a significant edit in the content of the project I make a note of the change in the google sheet where I’m keeping track of scores. Here are the averages of the currently 75 scores:

    Amber 26%
    Green 25%
    Teal 21%
    Red 12%
    Orange 11%
    Magenta 5%

    One blatant pattern I’m seeing is that high Green scores ALWAYS pair with a high score in Amber, and that people who have that pairing always score exceedingly low in Red and quite low in Orange.

    annabeth•...
    I just test drove a version of this scoring system on my own results, and it’s a MASSIVE difference. What I did was every color I selected as "false, wrong, or just doesn’t make sense" I docked 3 points off the Teal answer for that question (the max points Teal can get on any...
    personal development
    behavioral science
    psychometrics
    data analysis
    Comments
    0
  • annabeth avatar

    My best attempt ever to make Integral Theory accessible to first tier. https://www.guidedtrack.com/programs/we0q1pq/run

    I’ve put all of my energy about this political season into creating the most helpful thing I can imagine. It’s called Better Political Conversations, a quiz and mini-course that uses Integral perspectives to help people be able to see where each other is coming from more clearly.

    This is my most genuine effort to be the change I wish to see in the world. My aim is that this is something that people of any perspective, worldview, or political opinion could find value in.

    My standards building it were Pareto Principle on precision of information with a massive intention to make the concepts and wording comprehensible and relatable to folks in first tier. I aimed to honor every worldview as much as possible and not to compromise info in any ways that are misleading.

    I already have about 25 quiz results, and I wonder why I’m so surprised how many people’s highest percentage is in Amber.

    https://www.guidedtrack.com/programs/we0q1pq/run
    annabeth•...

    Update- this has had over 250 clicks, here’s the average percentages of the 57 scores so far:
    Amber 26%
    Green 24%
    Teal 20%
    Red 13%
    Orange 11%
    Magenta 6%

    data analysis
    statistics
    survey results
    Comments
    0
  • dara_like_sara avatar

    Reproductive rights. I have a really hard time understanding why folks support stripping reproductive rights before we’ve tackled better support for children and families in the US.

    From my perspective, the better we can support children, mothers, and families more broadly, the less we’ll actually have unplanned pregnancies.

    It just seems wise to really take care of those that are alive right now and try to improve their lives.

    jordanSA•...
    yeah i think there’s a lot research that’s gone into this, and idk if there’s a consensus yet but i’d love to get a summary. I like what Hans Rosling (Factfulness, https://www.gapminder.org/tools/#$chart-type=bubbles&url=v2) and Max Rose https://ourworldindata.org/ do in terms of...
    economics
    public health
    data analysis
    research methodology
    Comments
    0
  • dara_like_sara avatar

    Checking where this post goes. Just checking if this ends up in a group

    jordanSA•...

    yeah now it clearly shows its in uptrust_relevant

    programming
    data analysis
    Comments
    0
  • jordan avatar

    The Relateful Company should embrace more job titles. We’re under-appreciating orange.

    We’ve included the green critiques, like the classic:

    What gets measured gets managed — even when it’s pointless to measure and manage it, and even if it harms the purpose of the organisation to do so - V. F. Ridgway, 1956

    But we need to embrace more healthy competition, striving for excellence, even rankings.

    one way we can do this is to make more liberal use of titles, and brag on people. @Valerie Daniel is the MANAGING DIRECTOR, and we should have her listed as such in emails and things

    What else is healthy orange and how can we transclude it?
    What do we already do that is already healthy orange?

    daveSA•...
    I want to get a bit concrete here. There is a bunch of work about experiment / survey / psychometric testing design that has all kinds of tools that seem useful here. I’m in no way an expert here, or even barely experienced....
    communication
    psychometrics
    human behavior
    data analysis
    experiment design
    inferential statistics
    interpersonal dynamics
    research methodology
    social science research
    survey design
    Comments
    0
  • jordan avatar

    This is a big update for me: 50 Niche Social Networks by the numbers. I used to think we were up against a graveyard of failed projects. There’s truth in that, but it obscures the vibrancy of the existing social media landscape:

    • There are 30 social networks most of us have never even heard of pulling in 500k+ monthly active users. This isn’t just a fluke - it’s solid proof that focused, community-driven platforms can thrive.
    • In addition to the standard dozen billion+ MAU Major Players (Facebook, Youtube, WhatsApp, Instagram, TikTok, WeChat; and .5 billion+ Snapchat, X, Pinterest, Spotify, Reddit, Quora)
    • plus the foreign heavyweights (Douyin, Kuaishou, QQ, Weibo)
    • there are also 19 pretty other huge platforms killing it

    This is testament to

    • The viability of focused, community-driven platforms.
    • The social media landscape is more diverse than it might seem
    • The success of niche platforms suggests there’s still room for innovation and growth in social media, especially for platforms that address specific needs or values that aren’t getting met by current platforms
    • One option we have is positioning UpTrust in a different category, we’re not directly competing with established giants but rather creating a new space—where our niche is nuanced conversation about cultural landmines that goes well, in addition to kickstarting the trust economy (instead of the attention economy). It’s not about how long we can keep you scrolling; it’s about creating real connections and actually making people’s lives better.

    Platforms with 1-5 Million Monthly Active Users

    1. AllTrails: (hiking) ~4 million/mo
    2. Letterboxd: (film enthusiasts) ~3 million/mo
    3. Bandcamp: (music) ~3-4 million/mo
    4. iNaturalist: (nature observation) ~3 million/mo
    5. Mastodon: (decentralized social networking) ~2.5 million/mo
    6. Ravelry: (knitting) ~2 million/mo
    7. Tripoto: (travel) ~2 million/mo
    8. Fitocracy: (fitness) ~1-2 million/mo (estimate, exact numbers not disclosed)
    9. ResearchGate: (academic research) ~20 million total users, MAU not disclosed
    10. Untappd: (beer enthusiasts) ~1.5 million/mo
    11. Couchsurfing: (travel networking) ~12 million total users, MAU likely much lower
    12. Gaia: (yoga and meditation) ~500,000/mo (estimate)

    Platforms with 5-20 Million MAU

    1. Fishbrain (fishing): ~6-7 million MAU (estimated)
    2. Dribbble (design portfolios): ~5 million MAU
    3. Depop (fashion resale): ~4-5 million MAU
    4. Day One (journaling): 1-5 million MAU (estimate)
    5. Patreon: (creators) ~8 million patrons
    6. Komoot (route planning): MAU not disclosed, 40 million total users

    Big Niche Social Platforms (20 - 180 million MAU)

    1. BeReal: (authentic social media) ~25 million daily active users
    2. Fandom: (fan communities) ~315 million total users, MAU not disclosed
    3. Soundcloud: (music sharing) ~175 million/mo
    4. Discord: (community chat) ~150 million/mo
    5. Twitch: (gaming) ~140 million/mo
    6. Tumblr: (microblogging) ~135 million/mo
    7. Strava: (fitness tracking) ~100 million total users, MAU not disclosed
    8. Wattpad (storytelling): ~90 million MAU
    9. Goodreads: (books) ~90 million total users, MAU not disclosed
    10. Etsy: (handmade and vintage items) ~90 million active buyers
    11. Nextdoor: (neighborhoods) ~69 million verified users
    12. Flickr: (photo sharing) ~60 million/mo
    13. Stack Overflow: (programming Q&A) ~50 million/mo
    14. DeviantArt: (art sharing) ~45-50 million/mo
    15. Houzz: (home design) ~40 million/mo
    16. Duolingo (language learning): ~40 million MAU
    17. Meetup: (local community groups) ~35 million total users
    18. Behance: (creative portfolios) ~25 million/mo
    19. Last.fm: (music scrobbling) ~20 million/mo

    Religious Community-Focused Platforms

    1. YouVersion: (Christian) ~40-50 million/mo
    2. Patheos: (Interfaith) ~10-15 million/mo
    3. IslamicFinder: (Muslim) ~10-12 million/mo
    4. Pray.com: (Christian) ~5-7 million/mo (estimate)
    5. Aleteia: (Catholic) ~20 million monthly visits
    6. Catholic.net: (Catholic) ~3-5 million/mo (estimate)
    7. Al-Muslimeen: (Muslim) ~2-3 million/mo (estimate)
    8. Torah.org: (Jewish) ~1-2 million/mo (estimate)
    9. Mi Yodeya: (Jewish) ~500,000-1 million/mo (estimate)
    10. Mindar: (Buddhist) ~500,000-1 million/mo (estimate)
    11. DharmaMatch: (Buddhist/Spiritual) ~100,000-300,000/mo (estimate)
    12. Sikh Sangat: (Sikh) ~100,000-300,000/mo (estimate)
    13. Hindu2Hindu: (Hindu) ~100,000-300,000/mo (estimate)

    Recent Growth Examples:

    • BeReal: Grew from 10,000 users in 2020 to 25 million daily active users in 2022.
    • Discord: Grew from 56 million MAU in 2019 to 150 million MAU in 2023.
    • Twitch: Increased from 55 million MAU in 2019 to 140 million MAU in 2023.
    • Pinterest: Grew from 335 million MAU in Q4 2019 to 450 million MAU in Q4 2022.
    jordanSA•...

    thanks!

    yeah I agree, the reason its mixed in is because sometimes I don’t have the MAU, but it’s nice to have some sense of scale

    data analysis
    business metrics
    statistical analysis
    Comments
    0
  • jordan avatar

    Left Media Bias bigger than i realized. No matter how you measure (print media, online, page views, paid subscribers, followers, etc) US media leans heavily left, to an extent that surprised me. Most ways I tried back-of-the napkin math have right + right-leaning news sources being below 10%… and even the most generous assessments that include lost of neutral/other outlets still have left + left-leaning above 50% (meaning 5:1 liberal to conservative is the lowest estimate i could find).

    Context

    The US is pretty evenly split in terms of the two major parties:
    > 45% of U.S. adults Republican-ish, 44% Democrat-ish Gallup 2022

    Some sources

    • Allsides Here’s Allsides review
      their media bias on Allsides.com here’s the site’s own assessment of its own bias
    • Googling the top 25 most-subscribed news channels in the United States, and
    • Even the more left leaning LLMS can’t help but point out this as a fact of modern media.

    Takeaways

    • First, this gives me empathy for Republicans. Many American conservatives feel like the underdog, regardless of how much power or influence they yield, because in a very real way, they’re not represented in a substantial part of the public narrative making machine—the media—proportionally. The perception of bias is true despite their being popular conservative outlets with sizable audiences, and as a result the left has influence on public opinion.Impact on Public Trust (but also how come Republicans aren’t better at getting media subscribers?)

    • Second, how come Republicans, who are stereotypically thought of us as having more business acumen or money or something, are getting so handily beaten in the media?

    • Third, I try not to get involved in politics because I’m scared of loosing connection or turning people off of the value of relatefulness because of my takes, even if they’re nuanced. We’re very good at otherizing people and forgetting to look at nuances. I’m certain I lack nuance. I don’t want a difference of political opinion to get in the way of our connecting. I started writing up this for the TTT email (which I ended up deciding not to send) but I realized others are deeply esconced in politics and way smarter and more educated in the field than I, so I decided to not go there. But here on uptrusting.com I think it’s a cool opporutnity to test; could also be a nice road to empathy, or self-empathy, depending on our identifications.

     

    jordanSA•...

    right!? I was suuuuper surprised. This was my crappy research numbers from the google search

    data analysis
    internet research
    online collaboration tools
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